Disney and Pixar’s fifth ride with the beloved toys easily topped the weekend with $160 million domestically and $312 million worldwide. That’s the biggest Fri-Sun domestic debut since A Minecraft Movie and the highest for 2026 thus far (The Super Mario Galaxy Movie got a kickstart earlier in the week). It is also the second-highest domestic debut for a Pixar film, not counting for inflation, and only behind Incredibles 2 ($182 million during a hot-streak summer of 2018).
Keep in mind that its 2019 predecessor earned $120 million, and the 3rd installment earned $110 million in 2010. Adjusted for inflation, Pixar has been on a consistently good run with its follow-up Toy Story tales, even if some folks bemoan the idea of “why we need to keep this track going?” Then again, it may prove true, as the film did quite a bit of front-loading (a 2.25x multiplier from its $71 million Friday), so the summer times will indeed tell who walks away as the winner (The Odyssey and Spider-Man: Brand New Day will have their say!). Positive reviews and an A from CinemaScore mean it will lead the way as the family-friendly tale in town until Minions and Monsters (July 1). It’s too soon to say where it lands in comparison to its predecessors, but if it performs similarly to its predecessor (3.58x multiplier from a $120.9 million domestic debut to $434 million domestic), it will probably end up around the $1 billion mark unless it gets steamrolled by the yellow minions. Yours truly has doubts it will break $500 million domestic due to the mighty competition, but $450 million seems a good possibility from a conservative standpoint. Let’s bring this up again once the month ends…
One last note: it does appear Disney has been doing a “gap season” club behind some of its biggest success stories, from Moana to its overperforming sequel in 2024 (and yes, its live action coming later this year; le boo), or Inside Out, leading to a wonderful success story for its sequel also in 2024. Hmm, Deadpool & Wolverine did wonders, coming six years after Deadpool 2 and seven years after the acclaimed Logan, even with all the notes that Fox rights had been acquired by Disney. Perhaps that logic will carry over to Avengers: Doomsday, despite the MCU’s waning power since Avengers: Endgame. Toy Story 5 did indeed join and prevail.
On other news, Disclosure Day took a bit of a tumble with $17 million domestically in its second weekend. Not a great hold given the Father’s Day weekend, and online pundits may have been somewhat representative that “oh yeah, it’s another Spielberg film, about aliens.” At a conventional rate, it will probably only get $115 million domestic and $250 million worldwide, which is not swell news. Then again, Spielberg can catch a break for his age and the winding down of projects. Joke noted, maybe if he broadcast it like E.T. 2, it would’ve done better?
Obsession is simply the Christmas leggy beast in the midst of a hot summer streak, as it has already passed $215 million domestic and $333 million worldwide. Yeah, this (sixth) weekend makes it the fifteenth highest-earning sixth weekend. If it can get past $256 million domestic, it’ll pass Beauty and the Beast ($145.9 million from a $9.6 million expansion in November 1991) as the largest non-December/Christmas wide opener since Home Alone ($285 million from a $17 million debut) in November 1990. It may also have the juice to surpass $375 million worldwide, which will be all the more impressive for a non-IP, unknown-directed flick (sorry!) in years.
Backrooms is about to pass Get Out‘s $176 million and The Conjuring: Last Rites‘s $177 million to join Obsession as the two biggest domestic grossers under Blumhouse and/or Atomic Monster. Scary Movie 6 will pass $100 million domestic sometime this week, while it has already passed $201 million globally. Masters of the Universe has only passed $100 million worldwide. Mandalorian and Grogu got a Toy Story 5 bump, earning $3.9 million this weekend; it has now passed $322 million worldwide.
Newcomers Leviticus and The Death of Robin Hood earned $2.74 million and $2.62 million, respectively. No way in hell these two titles had a chance when Pixar is barreling down the road with an IP-centric title and other leggy monsters (Obsession and Backrooms) are holding the fort.
Lastly, Michael will pass $368 million domestically sometime late tonight/tomorrow morning, as it moves towards $960 million globally. It should finish its domestic run below $375 million (already available on PVOD). Oh, and it’ll gross around $6 million in its second weekend in Japan, bringing its total to $18 million in its second weekend. That’s on par with This Is It (which finished with $57 million; yours truly rewatched bits the other day) and with legs on par with Bohemian Rhapsody (legged to $115 million). Mr. Jackson proves yet again that he is more popular than Freddie Mercury, Elvis Presley, Elton John, Queen, and whichever musical titan you can lay out on the field. Passing Oppenheimer in adjusted worldwide totals and $1 billion, here we come.
Next weekend sees the release of DC Studios’ Supergirl, Jackass: Best and Last, The Invite, Little Brother (only on Netflix), Couture, The Get Out, and Lucky Strike.
